Slovakia: Poll by Ipsos from 01.07.2024

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
25.2
+3.6
PS
22.3
+2.1
HLAS
13.5
-2.8
REP
6.8
+1.8
KDH
6.3
+0.1
SaS
6.1
-0.6
D
4.7
+0.9
MA
4.3
-0.3
S/KÚ/ZL
4.1
-1.7
SNS
3.1
-1.0
SR
1.8
-1.2
ĽSNS
0.9
+0.9
Others
0.9
-1.8
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
+2.3
PS
+4.3
HLAS
-1.2
REP
+2.0
KDH
-0.5
SaS
-0.2
D
+1.8
MA
New
S/KÚ/ZL
New
SNS
-2.5
SR
-0.4
ĽSNS
New
Ipsos – 1017 respondents – 26.06.2024-01.07.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from Ipsos shows the following results: SMER 25.2%, PS 22.3%, HLAS 13.5%, Republika 6.8%, KDH 6.3%, SaS 6.1%, Demokrati 4.7%, MA 4.3%, S/KÚ/ZL 4.1%, SNS 3.1%, Sme Rodina 1.8% and ĽSNS 0.9%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, PS might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.3 growth since the last election. SNS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 48.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1017 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (26.06.2024 - 01.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
48
32%
HLAS
25
16.7%
PS
42
28%
KDH
12
8%
SaS
11
7.3%
REP
12
8%
SMER + PS
60.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH
56.7%
SMER + HLAS + SaS
56.0%
PS + HLAS + KDH
52.7%
PS + HLAS + SaS
52.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 26.06.2024 and 01.07.2024 among 1017 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 25.2%, PS 22.3%, HLAS 13.5%, Republika 6.8%, KDH 6.3%, SaS 6.1%, Demokrati 4.7%, MA 4.3%, S/KÚ/ZL 4.1%, SNS 3.1%, Sme Rodina 1.8% and ĽSNS 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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