Slovakia: Poll by Median from 31.08.2024

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
21.3
+1.5
PS
20.8
+1.5
HLAS
16.0
+4.1
KDH
8.4
+0.7
SaS
7.9
+0.5
S
6.0
+6.0
REP
4.1
-3.9
MA
3.9
+3.9
SR
3.8
-0.3
SNS
3.0
-1.8
ĽSNS
2.2
+2.2
D
1.9
-1.9
Others
0.7
-12.5
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-1.6
PS
+2.8
HLAS
+1.3
KDH
+1.6
SaS
+1.6
S
New
REP
-0.7
MA
New
SR
+1.6
SNS
-2.6
ĽSNS
New
D
-1.0
Median – 1129 respondents – 01.08.2024-31.08.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 56% of election polls Median rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 38% of election polls, Median rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Republika higher

In 42% of election polls, Median rates Republika higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from Median shows the following results: SMER 21.3%, PS 20.8%, HLAS 16%, KDH 8.4%, SaS 7.9%, S 6%, Republika 4.1%, MA 3.9%, Sme Rodina 3.8%, SNS 3%, ĽSNS 2.2% and Demokrati 1.9%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, PS might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. SNS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 46.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Median. For this purpose, 1129 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 30 days (01.08.2024 - 31.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
40
26.7%
HLAS
30
20%
PS
39
26%
KDH
15
10%
SaS
15
10%
S
11
7.3%
SMER + HLAS + SaS
56.7%
SMER + HLAS + KDH
56.7%
PS + HLAS + SaS
56.0%
PS + HLAS + KDH
56.0%
SMER + SaS + KDH + S
54.0%
SMER + HLAS + S
54.0%
PS + SaS + KDH + S
53.3%
PS + HLAS + S
53.3%
SMER + PS
52.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Median. The survey took place between 01.08.2024 and 31.08.2024 among 1129 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 21.3%, PS 20.8%, HLAS 16%, KDH 8.4%, SaS 7.9%, S 6%, Republika 4.1%, MA 3.9%, Sme Rodina 3.8%, SNS 3%, ĽSNS 2.2% and Demokrati 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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