Slovakia: Poll by NMS from 09.12.2024

Polling data

PS
24.8
-0.3
SMER
19.1
±0.0
HLAS
10.7
-0.1
REP
9.5
+0.8
S
6.5
+1.8
KDH
5.5
-0.9
SaS
4.8
-1.2
D
3.9
-0.5
SR
3.4
-0.9
MA
3.1
-0.6
SNS
2.9
-0.4
ZĽ
2.9
+1.9
ĽSNS
1.4
+0.4
KÚ
0.7
+0.4
Others
0.8
-0.4
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
PS
+6.8
SMER
-3.8
HLAS
-4.0
REP
+4.7
S
New
KDH
-1.3
SaS
-1.5
D
+1.0
SR
+1.2
MA
New
SNS
-2.7
ZĽ
New
ĽSNS
New
KÚ
New
NMS – 1000 respondents – 04.12.2024-09.12.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 56% of election polls NMS rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 31% of election polls, NMS rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Republika higher

In 31% of election polls, NMS rates Republika higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SMER lower

In 31% of election polls NMS rates SMER lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from NMS shows the following results: PS 24.8%, SMER 19.1%, HLAS 10.7%, Republika 9.5%, S 6.5%, KDH 5.5%, SaS 4.8%, Demokrati 3.9%, Sme Rodina 3.4%, MA 3.1%, SNS 2.9%, ZĽ 2.9%, ĽSNS 1.4% and Kresťanská únia 0.7%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, PS might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.8 growth since the last election. HLAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 39.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NMS. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (04.12.2024 - 09.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
38
25.3%
HLAS
21
14%
PS
49
32.7%
S
12
8%
KDH
11
7.3%
REP
19
12.7%
PS + SMER
58.0%
PS + HLAS + S
54.7%
SMER + HLAS + S + KDH
54.7%
PS + HLAS + KDH
54.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by NMS. The survey took place between 04.12.2024 and 09.12.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PS 24.8%, SMER 19.1%, HLAS 10.7%, Republika 9.5%, S 6.5%, KDH 5.5%, SaS 4.8%, Demokrati 3.9%, Sme Rodina 3.4%, MA 3.1%, SNS 2.9%, ZĽ 2.9%, ĽSNS 1.4% and Kresťanská únia 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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