Slovakia: Poll by NMS from 09.02.2025

Slovakia: Polling data

PS
24.6
+0.7
SMER
22.5
+4.1
HLAS
10.5
-1.0
REP
7.4
-1.5
KDH
6.6
+0.7
SaS
6.1
-0.6
S
5.8
-0.5
SR
4.1
+0.5
MA
3.2
-0.2
D
3.0
-1.0
ZĽ
2.1
-0.2
SNS
1.5
-0.6
KÚ
0.9
+0.1
ĽSNS
0.8
-0.6
Others
0.9
+0.1
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
PS
+6.6
SMER
-0.4
HLAS
-4.2
REP
+2.6
KDH
-0.2
SaS
-0.2
S
New
SR
+1.9
MA
New
D
+0.1
ZĽ
New
SNS
-4.1
KÚ
New
ĽSNS
New
NMS – 1001 respondents – 05.02.2025-09.02.2025

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 59% of election polls NMS rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from NMS shows the following results: PS 24.6%, SMER 22.5%, HLAS 10.5%, Republika 7.4%, KDH 6.6%, SaS 6.1%, S 5.8%, Sme Rodina 4.1%, MA 3.2%, Demokrati 3%, ZĽ 2.1%, SNS 1.5%, Kresťanská únia 0.9% and ĽSNS 0.8%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, PS might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.6 growth since the last election. HLAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 40.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NMS. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (05.02.2025 - 09.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
41
27.3%
HLAS
19
12.7%
PS
44
29.3%
KDH
12
8%
SaS
11
7.3%
S
10
6.7%
REP
13
8.7%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS
57.3%
PS + SMER
56.7%
PS + HLAS + KDH + S
56.7%
PS + HLAS + SaS + S
56.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS
55.3%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + S
54.7%
SMER + HLAS + SaS + S
54.0%
PS + KDH + SaS + S
51.3%
PS + HLAS + KDH
50.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS
49.3%
SMER + KDH + SaS + S
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by NMS. The survey took place between 05.02.2025 and 09.02.2025 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PS 24.6%, SMER 22.5%, HLAS 10.5%, Republika 7.4%, KDH 6.6%, SaS 6.1%, S 5.8%, Sme Rodina 4.1%, MA 3.2%, Demokrati 3%, ZĽ 2.1%, SNS 1.5%, Kresťanská únia 0.9% and ĽSNS 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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