Slovakia: Poll by AKO from 15.11.2018

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
23.9
+1.9
SaS
16.1
+0.1
SR
10.4
+2.4
SNS
9.2
-0.8
OĽaNO
8.1
+0.1
ĽSNS
7.8
-3.2
Modri
6.1
+0.1
KDH
5.9
-0.1
PS
5.0
±0.0
SPOLU
4.2
+0.2
SMK
3.2
+0.2
Others
0.1
-0.9
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
+1.0
SaS
+9.8
SR
+8.2
SNS
+3.6
OĽaNO
-0.8
ĽSNS
New
Modri
New
KDH
-0.9
PS
-13.0
SPOLU
New
SMK
New
AKO – 1000 respondents – 13.11.2018-15.11.2018

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates SaS higher

In 36% of election polls, AKO rates SaS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from AKO shows the following results: SMER 23.9%, SaS 16.1%, Sme Rodina 10.4%, SNS 9.2%, OĽaNO 8.1%, ĽSNS 7.8%, Modrí, Most–Híd 6.1%, KDH 5.9%, PS 5%, SPOLU 4.2% and SMK–MKP 3.2%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, SaS might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.8 growth since the last election. PS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 36.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by AKO. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (13.11.2018 - 15.11.2018).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
39
26%
PS
8
5.3%
SaS
26
17.3%
OĽaNO
13
8.7%
Modri
10
6.7%
KDH
9
6%
SR
17
11.3%
SNS
15
10%
ĽSNS
13
8.7%
SMER + SaS + KDH + PS
54.7%
SaS + Sme Rodina + SNS + OĽaNO + Modrí, Most–Híd
54.0%
SaS + Sme Rodina + SNS + OĽaNO + KDH
53.3%
SMER + SaS + OĽaNO
52.0%
SMER + SaS + Modrí, Most–Híd
50.0%
SMER + SaS + KDH
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by AKO. The survey took place between 13.11.2018 and 15.11.2018 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 23.9%, SaS 16.1%, Sme Rodina 10.4%, SNS 9.2%, OĽaNO 8.1%, ĽSNS 7.8%, Modrí, Most–Híd 6.1%, KDH 5.9%, PS 5%, SPOLU 4.2% and SMK–MKP 3.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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