Slovakia: Poll by FOCUS from 09.12.2018

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
21.7
+0.8
SaS
13.3
+1.3
OĽaNO
10.5
+1.0
ĽSNS
9.2
-0.6
SNS
9.2
+1.2
SR
9.0
+0.9
KDH
6.5
-1.2
Modri
5.2
-0.7
PS
5.1
-0.2
SPOLU
4.1
-0.9
SMK
3.3
-0.3
Others
2.9
-1.3
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-1.2
SaS
+7.0
OĽaNO
+1.6
ĽSNS
New
SNS
+3.6
SR
+6.8
KDH
-0.3
Modri
New
PS
-12.9
SPOLU
New
SMK
New
FOCUS – 1019 respondents – 01.12.2018-09.12.2018

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from FOCUS shows the following results: SMER 21.7%, SaS 13.3%, OĽaNO 10.5%, ĽSNS 9.2%, SNS 9.2%, Sme Rodina 9%, KDH 6.5%, Modrí, Most–Híd 5.2%, PS 5.1%, SPOLU 4.1% and SMK–MKP 3.3%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, SaS might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.0 growth since the last election. PS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 34.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by FOCUS. For this purpose, 1019 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (01.12.2018 - 09.12.2018).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
37
24.7%
PS
8
5.3%
SaS
22
14.7%
OĽaNO
18
12%
KDH
11
7.3%
Modri
9
6%
SNS
15
10%
SR
15
10%
ĽSNS
15
10%
SaS + OĽaNO + SNS + Sme Rodina + KDH
54.0%
SaS + OĽaNO + SNS + Sme Rodina + Modrí, Most–Híd
52.7%
SMER + SaS + KDH + PS
52.0%
SMER + SaS + OĽaNO
51.3%
SMER + OĽaNO + KDH + PS
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by FOCUS. The survey took place between 01.12.2018 and 09.12.2018 among 1019 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 21.7%, SaS 13.3%, OĽaNO 10.5%, ĽSNS 9.2%, SNS 9.2%, Sme Rodina 9%, KDH 6.5%, Modrí, Most–Híd 5.2%, PS 5.1%, SPOLU 4.1% and SMK–MKP 3.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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