Slovakia: Poll by FOCUS from 23.01.2019

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
22.5
+0.8
SaS
12.3
-1.0
SR
10.4
+1.4
OĽaNO
10.0
-0.5
ĽSNS
8.4
-0.8
SNS
8.0
-1.2
KDH
7.0
+0.5
Modri
5.8
+0.6
PS
4.9
-0.2
SPOLU
3.5
-0.6
SMK
3.4
+0.1
Others
3.8
+0.9
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-0.4
SaS
+6.0
SR
+8.2
OĽaNO
+1.1
ĽSNS
New
SNS
+2.4
KDH
+0.2
Modri
New
PS
-13.1
SPOLU
New
SMK
New
FOCUS – 1013 respondents – 16.01.2019-23.01.2019

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from FOCUS shows the following results: SMER 22.5%, SaS 12.3%, Sme Rodina 10.4%, OĽaNO 10%, ĽSNS 8.4%, SNS 8%, KDH 7%, Modrí, Most–Híd 5.8%, PS 4.9%, SPOLU 3.5% and SMK–MKP 3.4%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Sme Rodina might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.2 growth since the last election. PS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 36.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by FOCUS. For this purpose, 1013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (16.01.2019 - 23.01.2019).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
41
27.3%
SaS
22
14.7%
OĽaNO
18
12%
KDH
12
8%
Modri
10
6.7%
SR
18
12%
SNS
14
9.3%
ĽSNS
15
10%
SaS + OĽaNO + Sme Rodina + SNS + KDH
56.0%
SaS + OĽaNO + Sme Rodina + SNS + Modrí, Most–Híd
54.7%
SMER + SaS + OĽaNO
54.0%
SMER + SaS + KDH
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by FOCUS. The survey took place between 16.01.2019 and 23.01.2019 among 1013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 22.5%, SaS 12.3%, Sme Rodina 10.4%, OĽaNO 10%, ĽSNS 8.4%, SNS 8%, KDH 7%, Modrí, Most–Híd 5.8%, PS 4.9%, SPOLU 3.5% and SMK–MKP 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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