Slovakia: Poll by Polis from 15.01.2020

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
17.1
-1.0
ĽSNS
12.4
+0.2
OĽaNO
10.0
+0.2
ZĽ
9.7
-0.4
PS–SP
8.4
-1.1
SNS
6.3
-0.7
KDH
6.0
-0.1
SR
5.6
+0.1
SaS
5.6
+0.4
Modri
4.9
-0.3
SMK
4.3
-0.9
DV
4.1
+1.7
V
3.8
+1.6
Others
1.8
+0.3
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-5.8
ĽSNS
New
OĽaNO
+1.1
ZĽ
New
PS–SP
New
SNS
+0.7
KDH
-0.8
SR
+3.4
SaS
-0.7
Modri
New
SMK
New
DV
New
V
New
Polis – 1140 respondents – 10.01.2020-15.01.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates SMK–MKP higher

In 65% of election polls, Polis rates SMK–MKP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from Polis shows the following results: SMER 17.1%, ĽSNS 12.4%, OĽaNO 10%, ZĽ 9.7%, PS–SPOLU 8.4%, SNS 6.3%, KDH 6%, Sme Rodina 5.6%, SaS 5.6%, Modrí, Most–Híd 4.9%, SMK–MKP 4.3%, DV 4.1% and V 3.8%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Sme Rodina might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.4 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 29.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Polis. For this purpose, 1140 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (10.01.2020 - 15.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
32
21.3%
PS–SP
16
10.7%
OĽaNO
18
12%
ZĽ
18
12%
KDH
11
7.3%
SaS
10
6.7%
SNS
12
8%
SR
10
6.7%
ĽSNS
23
15.3%
SMER + OĽaNO + ZĽ + KDH
52.7%
SMER + OĽaNO + ZĽ + SaS
52.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Polis. The survey took place between 10.01.2020 and 15.01.2020 among 1140 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 17.1%, ĽSNS 12.4%, OĽaNO 10%, ZĽ 9.7%, PS–SPOLU 8.4%, SNS 6.3%, KDH 6%, Sme Rodina 5.6%, SaS 5.6%, Modrí, Most–Híd 4.9%, SMK–MKP 4.3%, DV 4.1% and V 3.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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