Latest polls from Mediana
34.5
23
9
7.4
5
4.5
3.5
3
2.9
1.8
1.3
1.3
1
1.8
34.1
22.3
7.3
6.5
6.5
4.8
4.3
4
2.5
1.5
1.3
0.7
4.2
34.7
24
7.6
7.3
4.8
4.6
4.5
3.8
2.7
2.1
0.5
0.5
0.2
2.7
Rating of parties
Institute often rates SDS lower
In 40% of election polls Mediana rates SDS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Svoboda lower
In 42% of election polls Mediana rates Svoboda lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Mediana pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.6 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Mediana's average ranking is 4.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
2x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
6
1x on rank 6