Latest voting intention survey by Parsifal for Slovenia
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Slovenia conducted by Parsifal, the parties received the following results: Svoboda 37.2%, SDS 32.2%, NSi 7%, SD 6.3%, Levica 4.3%, Pirati 3.7%, Resnica 3.2%, SNS 2.9%, ND 2.4% and SLS 0.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 703 people during the period 31.08.2022 - 31.08.2022. The survey was commissioned by Planet TV.
703 participants
29.08.2022 - 31.08.2022
Parsifal
Planet TV
Seats in parliament
90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
4
4.4%
GS
39
43.3%
SD
6
6.7%
NSi
7
7.8%
SDS
34
37.8%
Svoboda + SD + Levica
Svoboda + NSi
Svoboda + SD
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Levica lower
In 71% of election polls Parsifal rates Levica lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates NSi lower
In 46% of election polls Parsifal rates NSi lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SD lower
In 42% of election polls Parsifal rates SD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDS higher
In 88% of election polls, Parsifal rates SDS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Svoboda lower
In 80% of election polls Parsifal rates Svoboda lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.5
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Parsifal pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.5 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.48
|
Parliamentary Election in Slowenien 2022 | 3/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.