Ninamedia
Dnevnik
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Dnevnik
700 respondents
The next General election in Slovenia takes place in -7.4538390627662 days.
Based on the Ninamedia projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 48.9% of the parliamentary seats.
In the latest opinion poll for the election in Slovenia, conducted by Ninamedia on February 25, 2026, SDS leads with 28%. Trailing behind are Svoboda: 27%, NSi/SLS/FOKUS: 9.1%, SD: 8.2%, Demos: 7.8%, Levica/Vesna: 7.8%, Prerod: 2.9%, Resnica: 2.6%, Socialisti: 1.7%, Pirati: 1.6%, SNS: 1.2%, Stranka Zaupanje: 0.8%, Povežimo Slovenijo: 0.6%, Glas upokojencev: 0.5% and AZAS: 0.1%. Other parties secure 0.1% of the votes.
Ninamedia achieved a PolitPro Score of 48 out of 100.
On average, Ninamedia's figures deviate by 2.0 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
In 23% of polls, Ninamedia rated Demokrati higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 60% of polls, Ninamedia rated SD higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 51% of polls, Ninamedia rated SDS higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 67% of polls, Ninamedia rated Svoboda higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 31% of polls, Ninamedia rated Demokrati lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 22% of polls, Ninamedia rated Pirati lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 25% of polls, Ninamedia rated SNS lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
The electoral threshold for the election in Slovenia is 4%.
According to Info360, 7 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Slovenia's parliament: SDS with 30 representatives, Svoboda with 17 representatives, Demokrati with 16 representatives, NSi/SLS/FOKUS with 10 representatives, SD with 6 representatives, Levica/Vesna with 6 representatives and Povežimo Slovenijo with 5 representatives.
The Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) comprises 90 deputies, elected for four-year terms. Its electoral system employs a two-stage proportional representation model: 88 seats are allocated across eight electoral districts, each subdivided into eleven electoral units. Voters cast a ballot for a candidate in their unit, which simultaneously counts as a vote for that candidate's party. Seat allocation first occurs at the district level using the Droop quota, followed by a national-level adjustment via the D'Hondt method to ensure overall proportionality. Two seats are specifically reserved for the Italian and Hungarian minorities, elected through the Borda count (preferential voting) system.
To enter the National Assembly, Slovenia enforces a nationwide electoral threshold of 4%. Parties must secure this share of the national vote to qualify for the distribution of the 88 proportional seats. This threshold aims to stabilize Slovenia's often fragmented party system, preventing numerous smaller parties from complicating government formation. The two deputies representing national minorities are exempt from this threshold, as they are determined through separate electoral processes.
Given that the electoral system often produces a multi-party parliament, coalition governments are inevitable in Slovenia. Following an election, the President of the Republic nominates a candidate for Prime Minister to the National Assembly. The election proceeds by secret ballot, requiring an absolute majority of deputies (46 out of 90 votes). Slovenian politics frequently sees new parties, often formed just before an election ('New Faces'), achieve significant electoral success and play a pivotal role in government formation, leading to a highly dynamic political landscape.