Parsifal
Nova24
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Nova24
581 respondents
The next General election in Slovenia takes place in -7.4417941820255 days.
Based on the Parsifal projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 41.1% of the parliamentary seats.
In the latest opinion poll for the election in Slovenia, conducted by Parsifal on February 24, 2026, SDS leads with 31.9%. Trailing behind are Svoboda: 23.8%, Demos: 8.4%, NSi/SLS/FOKUS: 8.2%, SD: 7.4%, Levica/Vesna: 6.6%, Prerod: 4.1%, Pirati: 3.2%, Resnica: 2.5%, SNS: 1.8%, Glas upokojencev: 1.1% and Povežimo Slovenijo: 0.7%. Other parties secure 0.3% of the votes.
Parsifal achieved a PolitPro Score of 45 out of 100.
On average, Parsifal's figures deviate by 2.5 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
In 20% of polls, Parsifal rated Demokrati higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 20% of polls, Parsifal rated Levica/Vesna higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 85% of polls, Parsifal rated SDS higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 31% of polls, Parsifal rated Svoboda higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 20% of polls, Parsifal rated Demokrati lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 40% of polls, Parsifal rated Levica/Vesna lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 36% of polls, Parsifal rated SD lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 38% of polls, Parsifal rated Svoboda lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
The electoral threshold for the election in Slovenia is 4%.
According to Parsifal, 6 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Slovenia's parliament: SDS with 34 representatives, Svoboda with 24 representatives, NSi/SLS/FOKUS with 9 representatives, SD with 9 representatives, Demos with 8 representatives and Levica/Vesna with 6 representatives.
The Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) comprises 90 deputies, elected for four-year terms. Its electoral system employs a two-stage proportional representation model: 88 seats are allocated across eight electoral districts, each subdivided into eleven electoral units. Voters cast a ballot for a candidate in their unit, which simultaneously counts as a vote for that candidate's party. Seat allocation first occurs at the district level using the Droop quota, followed by a national-level adjustment via the D'Hondt method to ensure overall proportionality. Two seats are specifically reserved for the Italian and Hungarian minorities, elected through the Borda count (preferential voting) system.
To enter the National Assembly, Slovenia enforces a nationwide electoral threshold of 4%. Parties must secure this share of the national vote to qualify for the distribution of the 88 proportional seats. This threshold aims to stabilize Slovenia's often fragmented party system, preventing numerous smaller parties from complicating government formation. The two deputies representing national minorities are exempt from this threshold, as they are determined through separate electoral processes.
Given that the electoral system often produces a multi-party parliament, coalition governments are inevitable in Slovenia. Following an election, the President of the Republic nominates a candidate for Prime Minister to the National Assembly. The election proceeds by secret ballot, requiring an absolute majority of deputies (46 out of 90 votes). Slovenian politics frequently sees new parties, often formed just before an election ('New Faces'), achieve significant electoral success and play a pivotal role in government formation, leading to a highly dynamic political landscape.