Latest Opinion Poll for Slovenia (Parsifal, February 26, 2026).

February 24, 2026 - February 26, 2026

562 respondents

Next General election in Slovenia: March 22, 2026

The next General election in Slovenia takes place in -7.4067166314005 days.

Slovenia's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority.

Based on the Parsifal projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 45.6% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Parsifal?

In the latest opinion poll for the election in Slovenia, conducted by Parsifal on February 26, 2026, SDS leads with 30.9%. Trailing behind are Svoboda: 23%, SD: 10.5%, Demos: 9.1%, NSi/SLS/FOKUS: 7.1%, Levica/Vesna: 5.7%, Prerod: 3.6%, Resnica: 3.4%, Pirati: 2.5%, SNS: 2.3%, Socialisti: 0.7%, Povežimo Slovenijo: 0.7% and AZAS: 0.6%.

Current Election Trend: Slovenia
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Quality Check: How Reliable is the Parsifal Projection?

45

PolitPro Score

Parsifal achieved a PolitPro Score of 45 out of 100.

2.5

Election Accuracy

On average, Parsifal's figures deviate by 2.5 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Parsifal at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
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Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

90
Majority requires 46 seats

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Slovenia is 4%.

Svoboda + SD + NSi
Centre-Left
51.1%
SDS + NSi
Right
50.0%
Svoboda + SD + Levica
Left
50.0%
SDS + Levica
Right
48.9%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Ninamedia)

According to Ninamedia, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Slovenia's parliament: SDS with 35 representatives, Svoboda with 24 representatives, SD with 12 representatives, NSi with 10 representatives and Levica with 9 representatives.

The Electoral System in Slovenia

The Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) comprises 90 deputies, elected for four-year terms. Its electoral system employs a two-stage proportional representation model: 88 seats are allocated across eight electoral districts, each subdivided into eleven electoral units. Voters cast a ballot for a candidate in their unit, which simultaneously counts as a vote for that candidate's party. Seat allocation first occurs at the district level using the Droop quota, followed by a national-level adjustment via the D'Hondt method to ensure overall proportionality. Two seats are specifically reserved for the Italian and Hungarian minorities, elected through the Borda count (preferential voting) system.

Electoral Thresholds

To enter the National Assembly, Slovenia enforces a nationwide electoral threshold of 4%. Parties must secure this share of the national vote to qualify for the distribution of the 88 proportional seats. This threshold aims to stabilize Slovenia's often fragmented party system, preventing numerous smaller parties from complicating government formation. The two deputies representing national minorities are exempt from this threshold, as they are determined through separate electoral processes.

Government Formation and Traditions

Given that the electoral system often produces a multi-party parliament, coalition governments are inevitable in Slovenia. Following an election, the President of the Republic nominates a candidate for Prime Minister to the National Assembly. The election proceeds by secret ballot, requiring an absolute majority of deputies (46 out of 90 votes). Slovenian politics frequently sees new parties, often formed just before an election ('New Faces'), achieve significant electoral success and play a pivotal role in government formation, leading to a highly dynamic political landscape.

Coalition Calculator
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Data Sources and Methodology

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