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Slovenia Parsifal: Election Poll for Slovenia's Parliamentary Election from 10 March 2026

Strongest Force
SDS
6.9 points ahead of Svoboda
Government Majority
Stable Majority
47 of 90 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2030
estimated

Voting Intention Poll for Slovenia's Parliamentary Election.

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Parsifal:'s latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovenia, fieldwork ended 10 March 2026.

Changes since the last election on 24 April 2022

SDS
30.0
+6.5
GS
23.1
-11.4
D.
9.2
+9.2
7.9
+7.9
SD
7.6
+0.9
7.5
+7.5
Res
4.6
+1.7
SNS
2.8
+2.8
PSS
2.5
+2.5
PVP
2.2
+2.2
GU
1.3
+1.3
MI!
0.6
+0.6
0.6
+0.6
Other
0.1
Institute
Parsifal
Survey Period
06/03/2026 – 10/03/2026
Respondents
681
Slovenia's governing coalition secures a stable majority.

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 52.2% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Parsifal?

In a recent voting intention poll for Slovenia by Parsifal, SDS leads with 30%, followed by Svoboda with 23.1%, Demokrati with 9.2%, Levica/Vesna with 7.9%, SD with 7.6%, NSi/SLS/FOKUS with 7.5%, Resnica with 4.6%, SNS with 2.8%, Pirati with 2.5%, Prerod with 2.2%, Glas upokojencev with 1.3%, Socialisti with 0.6% and Povežimo Slovenijo with 0.6%. Other parties achieve 0.1% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

Parsifal: how reliable is the projection?

54 PolitPro Score Rank 5 of 5 in Slovenia
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 62.2
Avg. deviation in elections
2.3 pp

2 election comparisons

Recorded polls
34

Last on 10 March 2026

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
46
0 90
Majority 46

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 4%.

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Parsifal: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 7 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter Slovenia's parliament: SDS with 31 seats, Svoboda with 24 seats, Demokrati with 9 seats, Levica/Vesna with 8 seats, SD with 7 seats, NSi/SLS/FOKUS with 7 seats and Resnica with 4 seats.

Slovenia's Electoral System Explained

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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