Slovenia: Poll by Mediana from 08.10.2020

Polling data

SDS
29.3
+2.8
LMŠ
16.3
-2.6
SD
14.6
-0.7
L
12.4
+2.7
NSi
7.7
-1.0
SAB
4.5
+0.7
DeSUS
4.4
+4.4
DD
2.4
-0.1
SLS
2.2
-0.6
SNS
2.0
-3.1
PS
2.0
±0.0
SMC
1.1
+0.6
ZS
1.1
-0.5
Development since the last election on 24.04.2022
SDS
+5.8
LMŠ
+12.6
SD
+7.9
L
+8.0
NSi
+0.8
SAB
New
DeSUS
New
DD
New
SLS
New
SNS
New
PS
New
SMC
New
ZS
New
Mediana – 712 respondents – 01.10.2020-08.10.2020

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Slovenia is expected to take place in 2026.

Low number of respondents

Only 712 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates LMŠ lower

In 46% of election polls Mediana rates LMŠ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDS lower

In 40% of election polls Mediana rates SDS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovenia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovenia from Mediana shows the following results: SDS 29.3%, LMŠ 16.3%, SD 14.6%, Levica 12.4%, NSi 7.7%, Stranka Bratušek 4.5%, DeSUS 4.4%, DD 2.4%, SLS 2.2%, SNS 2%, PS 2%, SMC 1.1% and Zeleni Slovenije 1.1%. If an election were held in Slovenia this Sunday, LMŠ might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.6 growth since the last election. NSi, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+0.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from SD, Levica and Svoboda. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 712 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (01.10.2020 - 08.10.2020).

Coalition possibilities

90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
12
13.3%
LMŠ
17
18.9%
SD
15
16.7%
DeSUS
4
4.4%
SAB
4
4.4%
NSi
8
8.9%
SDS
30
33.3%
LMŠ + SD + NSi + DeSUS + Stranka Bratušek
53.3%
LMŠ + SD + Levica + DeSUS
53.3%
LMŠ + SD + Levica + Stranka Bratušek
53.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovenia was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 01.10.2020 and 08.10.2020 among 712 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDS 29.3%, LMŠ 16.3%, SD 14.6%, Levica 12.4%, NSi 7.7%, Stranka Bratušek 4.5%, DeSUS 4.4%, DD 2.4%, SLS 2.2%, SNS 2%, PS 2%, SMC 1.1% and Zeleni Slovenije 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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