Slovenia: Poll by Mediana from 09.12.2020

Polling data

SDS
26.0
+1.3
LMŠ
15.5
-0.7
L
14.5
+1.5
SD
11.8
-4.7
NSi
6.9
+0.5
DeSUS
5.5
-0.3
SAB
4.9
+1.9
SNS
3.5
-0.4
PSS
3.2
+3.2
SMC
1.5
+0.5
ZS
1.5
±0.0
DD
1.2
-1.3
SLS
1.1
+1.1
Others
2.9
-2.6
Development since the last election on 24.04.2022
SDS
+2.5
LMŠ
+11.8
L
+10.1
SD
+5.1
NSi
±0.0
DeSUS
New
SAB
New
SNS
New
PSS
New
SMC
New
ZS
New
DD
New
SLS
New
Mediana – 711 respondents – 07.12.2020-09.12.2020

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Slovenia is expected to take place in 2026.

Low number of respondents

Only 711 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates LMŠ lower

In 46% of election polls Mediana rates LMŠ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDS lower

In 40% of election polls Mediana rates SDS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovenia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovenia from Mediana shows the following results: SDS 26%, LMŠ 15.5%, Levica 14.5%, SD 11.8%, NSi 6.9%, DeSUS 5.5%, Stranka Bratušek 4.9%, SNS 3.5%, Pirati 3.2%, SMC 1.5%, Zeleni Slovenije 1.5%, DD 1.2% and SLS 1.1%. If an election were held in Slovenia this Sunday, LMŠ might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.8 growth since the last election. SDS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+2.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from SD, Levica and Svoboda. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 711 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.12.2020 - 09.12.2020).

Coalition possibilities

90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
15
16.7%
LMŠ
17
18.9%
SD
12
13.3%
DeSUS
6
6.7%
SAB
5
5.6%
NSi
7
7.8%
SDS
28
31.1%
LMŠ + Levica + SD + DeSUS
55.6%
LMŠ + Levica + SD + Stranka Bratušek
54.4%
LMŠ + SD + NSi + DeSUS + Stranka Bratušek
52.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovenia was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 07.12.2020 and 09.12.2020 among 711 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDS 26%, LMŠ 15.5%, Levica 14.5%, SD 11.8%, NSi 6.9%, DeSUS 5.5%, Stranka Bratušek 4.9%, SNS 3.5%, Pirati 3.2%, SMC 1.5%, Zeleni Slovenije 1.5%, DD 1.2% and SLS 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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