Slovenia: Poll by Mediana from 03.03.2022

Polling data

SDS
23.2
+1.6
GS
22.8
-0.1
SD
9.7
-1.6
LMŠ
7.2
+1.5
L
7.1
-0.9
NSi
7.0
+1.1
SAB
5.1
+0.9
Res
3.2
+0.4
Vesna
2.9
+2.1
ND
2.8
-0.5
SNS
2.2
+0.8
PSS
1.3
-1.5
DeSUS
1.1
-0.2
DD
0.5
+0.1
Others
3.9
-3.7
Development since the last election on 24.04.2022
SDS
-0.3
GS
-11.7
SD
+3.0
LMŠ
+3.5
L
+2.7
NSi
+0.1
SAB
New
Res
+0.3
Vesna
New
ND
New
SNS
New
PSS
New
DeSUS
New
DD
New
Mediana – 1031 respondents – 28.02.2022-03.03.2022

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Slovenia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates LMŠ lower

In 46% of election polls Mediana rates LMŠ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDS lower

In 40% of election polls Mediana rates SDS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Svoboda lower

In 32% of election polls Mediana rates Svoboda lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovenia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovenia from Mediana shows the following results: SDS 23.2%, Svoboda 22.8%, SD 9.7%, LMŠ 7.2%, Levica 7.1%, NSi 7%, Stranka Bratušek 5.1%, Resnica 3.2%, Vesna 2.9%, ND 2.8%, SNS 2.2%, Pirati 1.3%, DeSUS 1.1% and DD 0.5%. If an election were held in Slovenia this Sunday, LMŠ might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. Svoboda, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from SD, Levica and Svoboda. With 48.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 1031 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (28.02.2022 - 03.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
8
8.9%
GS
25
27.8%
SD
11
12.2%
LMŠ
8
8.9%
SAB
5
5.6%
NSi
7
7.8%
SDS
26
28.9%
Svoboda + SD + LMŠ + Levica
57.8%
Svoboda + SD + LMŠ + NSi
56.7%
Svoboda + SD + LMŠ + Stranka Bratušek
54.4%
Svoboda + SD + Levica + Stranka Bratušek
54.4%
Svoboda + SD + NSi + Stranka Bratušek
53.3%
Svoboda + LMŠ + Levica + Stranka Bratušek
51.1%
Svoboda + LMŠ + NSi + Stranka Bratušek
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovenia was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 28.02.2022 and 03.03.2022 among 1031 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDS 23.2%, Svoboda 22.8%, SD 9.7%, LMŠ 7.2%, Levica 7.1%, NSi 7%, Stranka Bratušek 5.1%, Resnica 3.2%, Vesna 2.9%, ND 2.8%, SNS 2.2%, Pirati 1.3%, DeSUS 1.1% and DD 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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