Slovenia: Poll by Ninamedia from 10.03.2022

Polling data

GS
25.4
+0.5
SDS
24.4
+2.0
SD
12.2
+0.6
L
9.1
+0.5
LMŠ
6.5
±0.0
NSi
5.9
+1.0
SAB
4.1
±0.0
PoS
4.0
+0.4
ND
1.7
-1.4
Res
1.7
-1.1
Vesna
1.6
+0.5
PSS
1.1
+1.1
SNS
1.0
-0.2
DeSUS
0.5
-0.2
DD
0.5
±0.0
Others
0.3
-3.7
Development since the last election on 24.04.2022
GS
-9.1
SDS
+0.9
SD
+5.5
L
+4.7
LMŠ
+2.8
NSi
-1.0
SAB
New
PoS
New
ND
New
Res
-1.2
Vesna
New
PSS
New
SNS
New
DeSUS
New
DD
New
Ninamedia – 1050 respondents – 07.03.2022-10.03.2022

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Slovenia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates LMŠ higher

In 38% of election polls, Ninamedia rates LMŠ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NSi higher

In 33% of election polls, Ninamedia rates NSi higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SD higher

In 53% of election polls, Ninamedia rates SD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDS higher

In 35% of election polls, Ninamedia rates SDS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Svoboda higher

In 64% of election polls, Ninamedia rates Svoboda higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovenia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovenia from Ninamedia shows the following results: Svoboda 25.4%, SDS 24.4%, SD 12.2%, Levica 9.1%, LMŠ 6.5%, NSi 5.9%, Stranka Bratušek 4.1%, PoS 4%, ND 1.7%, Resnica 1.7%, Vesna 1.6%, Pirati 1.1%, SNS 1%, DeSUS 0.5% and DD 0.5%. If an election were held in Slovenia this Sunday, SD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. Svoboda, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from SD, Levica and Svoboda. With 51.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ninamedia. For this purpose, 1050 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (07.03.2022 - 10.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
9
10%
GS
25
27.8%
SD
12
13.3%
LMŠ
6
6.7%
SAB
4
4.4%
NSi
6
6.7%
PoS
4
4.4%
SDS
24
26.7%
Svoboda + SD + LMŠ + NSi
54.4%
Svoboda + SD + LMŠ + PoS
52.2%
Svoboda + SD + NSi + PoS
52.2%
Svoboda + SD + LMŠ + Stranka Bratušek
52.2%
Svoboda + SD + NSi + Stranka Bratušek
52.2%
Svoboda + SD + Levica
51.1%
Svoboda + SD + Stranka Bratušek + PoS
50.0%
Svoboda + LMŠ + NSi + Stranka Bratušek + PoS
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovenia was conducted by Ninamedia. The survey took place between 07.03.2022 and 10.03.2022 among 1050 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Svoboda 25.4%, SDS 24.4%, SD 12.2%, Levica 9.1%, LMŠ 6.5%, NSi 5.9%, Stranka Bratušek 4.1%, PoS 4%, ND 1.7%, Resnica 1.7%, Vesna 1.6%, Pirati 1.1%, SNS 1%, DeSUS 0.5% and DD 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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