Slovenia: Poll by Mediana from 03.10.2024

Slovenia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SDS
32.4
-2.4
GS
24.0
+2.6
SD
9.4
+1.6
NSi
7.1
+0.8
L
5.2
-1.1
Vesna
4.6
+0.2
Res
4.1
+1.1
SNS
2.9
+0.5
PSS
2.7
-1.2
NP
2.5
+2.5
SLS
1.9
-1.6
ND
0.9
-0.2
K
0.3
+0.2
Others
2.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 24.04.2022
SDS
+8.9
GS
-10.5
SD
+2.7
NSi
+0.2
L
+0.8
Vesna
New
Res
+1.2
SNS
New
PSS
New
NP
New
SLS
New
ND
New
K
New
Mediana – 724 respondents – 30.09.2024-03.10.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Slovenia is expected to take place in 2026.

Low number of respondents

Only 724 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates SDS lower

In 40% of election polls Mediana rates SDS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Svoboda lower

In 32% of election polls Mediana rates Svoboda lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovenia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovenia from Mediana shows the following results: SDS 32.4%, Svoboda 24%, SD 9.4%, NSi 7.1%, Levica 5.2%, Vesna 4.6%, Resnica 4.1%, SNS 2.9%, Pirati 2.7%, NP 2.5%, SLS 1.9%, ND 0.9% and Konkretno 0.3%. If an election were held in Slovenia this Sunday, SDS might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.9 growth since the last election. Svoboda, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from SD, Levica and Svoboda. With 44.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Mediana. For this purpose, 724 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (30.09.2024 - 03.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
5
5.6%
GS
25
27.8%
SD
10
11.1%
Vesna
4
4.4%
NSi
7
7.8%
SDS
35
38.9%
Res
4
4.4%
Svoboda + SD + Levica + Resnica + Vesna
53.3%
Svoboda + SD + NSi + Resnica
51.1%
SDS + NSi + Resnica
51.1%
Svoboda + SD + NSi + Vesna
51.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovenia was conducted by Mediana. The survey took place between 30.09.2024 and 03.10.2024 among 724 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDS 32.4%, Svoboda 24%, SD 9.4%, NSi 7.1%, Levica 5.2%, Vesna 4.6%, Resnica 4.1%, SNS 2.9%, Pirati 2.7%, NP 2.5%, SLS 1.9%, ND 0.9% and Konkretno 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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