Slovenia: Poll by Parsifal from 29.01.2020

Polling data

SDS
27.2
±0.0
LMŠ
27.1
±0.0
SD
10.5
±0.0
L
7.2
±0.0
DeSUS
5.8
±0.0
SNS
5.8
±0.0
NSi
4.9
±0.0
PAB
3.4
±0.0
SLS
3.1
±0.0
SMC
2.8
±0.0
Others
2.2
±0.0
Development since the last election on 24.04.2022
SDS
+3.7
LMŠ
+23.4
SD
+3.8
L
+2.8
DeSUS
New
SNS
New
NSi
-2.0
PAB
+0.8
SLS
New
SMC
New
Parsifal – 952 respondents – 27.01.2020-29.01.2020

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Slovenia is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates DeSUS higher

In 37% of election polls, Parsifal rates DeSUS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Levica lower

In 71% of election polls Parsifal rates Levica lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NSi lower

In 46% of election polls Parsifal rates NSi lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SD lower

In 42% of election polls Parsifal rates SD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDS higher

In 88% of election polls, Parsifal rates SDS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovenia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovenia from Parsifal shows the following results: SDS 27.2%, LMŠ 27.1%, SD 10.5%, Levica 7.2%, DeSUS 5.8%, SNS 5.8%, NSi 4.9%, PAB 3.4%, SLS 3.1% and SMC 2.8%. If an election were held in Slovenia this Sunday, LMŠ might gain the most in voter favorability with +23.4 growth since the last election. NSi, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from SD, Levica and Svoboda. With 18.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Parsifal. For this purpose, 952 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (27.01.2020 - 29.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
7
7.8%
LMŠ
28
31.1%
SD
10
11.1%
DeSUS
6
6.7%
NSi
5
5.6%
SDS
28
31.1%
SNS
6
6.7%
LMŠ + SD + Levica + DeSUS
56.7%
LMŠ + SD + DeSUS + NSi
54.4%
LMŠ + SD + Levica
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovenia was conducted by Parsifal. The survey took place between 27.01.2020 and 29.01.2020 among 952 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDS 27.2%, LMŠ 27.1%, SD 10.5%, Levica 7.2%, DeSUS 5.8%, SNS 5.8%, NSi 4.9%, PAB 3.4%, SLS 3.1% and SMC 2.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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