Slovenia: Poll by Ninamedia from 13.02.2020

Polling data

SDS
29.3
+5.1
LMŠ
25.6
-3.9
SD
12.3
-1.9
L
7.9
-1.6
NSi
7.8
+0.1
DeSUS
4.3
-0.2
SNS
3.7
+0.1
SLS
3.4
-0.7
SMC
3.0
+2.7
PAB
1.5
+0.5
Others
1.2
-0.2
Development since the last election on 24.04.2022
SDS
+5.8
LMŠ
+21.9
SD
+5.6
L
+3.5
NSi
+0.9
DeSUS
New
SNS
New
SLS
New
SMC
New
PAB
-1.1
Ninamedia – 700 respondents – 11.02.2020-13.02.2020

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Slovenia is expected to take place in 2026.

Low number of respondents

Only 700 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates LMŠ higher

In 38% of election polls, Ninamedia rates LMŠ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NSi higher

In 33% of election polls, Ninamedia rates NSi higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SD higher

In 53% of election polls, Ninamedia rates SD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDS higher

In 35% of election polls, Ninamedia rates SDS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SMC lower

In 31% of election polls Ninamedia rates SMC lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovenia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovenia from Ninamedia shows the following results: SDS 29.3%, LMŠ 25.6%, SD 12.3%, Levica 7.9%, NSi 7.8%, DeSUS 4.3%, SNS 3.7%, SLS 3.4%, SMC 3% and PAB 1.5%. If an election were held in Slovenia this Sunday, LMŠ might gain the most in voter favorability with +21.9 growth since the last election. PAB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from SD, Levica and Svoboda. With 23.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ninamedia. For this purpose, 700 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (11.02.2020 - 13.02.2020).

Coalition possibilities

90
Majority requires 46 seats
L
8
8.9%
LMŠ
27
30%
SD
13
14.4%
DeSUS
4
4.4%
NSi
8
8.9%
SDS
30
33.3%
LMŠ + SD + NSi
53.3%
LMŠ + SD + Levica
53.3%
LMŠ + SD + DeSUS
48.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovenia was conducted by Ninamedia. The survey took place between 11.02.2020 and 13.02.2020 among 700 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SDS 29.3%, LMŠ 25.6%, SD 12.3%, Levica 7.9%, NSi 7.8%, DeSUS 4.3%, SNS 3.7%, SLS 3.4%, SMC 3% and PAB 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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