Spain's General Election: Final Results

General election in Spain 2023

Spanish Election Results: July 23, 2023

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Spain is 3%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 53.1%.

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 43.4% of the seats.

Partido Popular + PSOE
Centre
73.7%
Partido Popular + Vox + Junts per Catalunya
Right
50.6%
Partido Popular + Vox + Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco
Right
50.0%
Partido Popular + Vox
Right
48.6%
PSOE + Sumar + ERC + Junts per Catalunya
Centre-Left
47.4%
PSOE + Sumar + Junts per Catalunya
Centre-Left
45.4%
PSOE + Sumar + ERC
Centre-Left
45.4%
PSOE + Sumar
Centre-Left
43.4%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

1.45

Cluster17

The final poll by Cluster17 deviated by an average of 1.45 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +0.5
  • PSOE
    -2.8
  • Vox
    +1.3
  • Sumar
    +1.2
1.50

CIS

The final poll by CIS deviated by an average of 1.50 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PSOE
    +0.5
  • PP
    -2.3
  • Sumar
    +2.6
  • Vox
    -0.6
1.60

Sigma Dos

The final poll by Sigma Dos deviated by an average of 1.60 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +1.3
  • PSOE
    -3.5
  • Vox
    +1.1
  • Sumar
    +0.5
1.63

Ipsos

The final poll by Ipsos deviated by an average of 1.63 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +2.2
  • PSOE
    -3.5
  • Sumar
    +0.6
  • Vox
    +0.2
1.80

NC Report

The final poll by NC Report deviated by an average of 1.80 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +2.6
  • PSOE
    -4.3
  • Vox
    +0.2
  • Sumar
    +0.1
1.98

DYM

The final poll by DYM deviated by an average of 1.98 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +2.4
  • PSOE
    -4.6
  • Sumar
    +0.8
  • Vox
    -0.1
1.98

GAD3

The final poll by GAD3 deviated by an average of 1.98 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +3.5
  • PSOE
    -3.2
  • Sumar
    +0.4
  • Vox
    -0.8
2.03

YouGov

The final poll by YouGov deviated by an average of 2.03 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    -1.1
  • PSOE
    -3.7
  • Sumar
    +1.7
  • Vox
    +1.6
2.10

40dB

The final poll by 40dB deviated by an average of 2.10 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    -2.2
  • PSOE
    -3.0
  • Vox
    +2.7
  • Sumar
    +0.5
2.13

Celeste-Tel

The final poll by Celeste-Tel deviated by an average of 2.13 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +3.4
  • PSOE
    -3.3
  • Sumar
    -0.8
  • Vox
    -1.0
2.15

Invymark

The final poll by Invymark deviated by an average of 2.15 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +0.4
  • PSOE
    -5.4
  • Vox
    +1.4
  • Sumar
    +1.4
2.25

Hamalgama Métrica

The final poll by Hamalgama Métrica deviated by an average of 2.25 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +3.2
  • PSOE
    -4.2
  • Vox
    +1.4
  • Sumar
    -0.2
2.48

IMOP

The final poll by IMOP deviated by an average of 2.48 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    -0.5
  • PSOE
    -5.5
  • Vox
    +2.9
  • Sumar
    +1.0
2.68

SocioMétrica

The final poll by SocioMétrica deviated by an average of 2.68 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    -1.0
  • PSOE
    -6.2
  • Vox
    +2.3
  • Sumar
    +1.2
2.88

GESOP

The final poll by GESOP deviated by an average of 2.88 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    -2.5
  • PSOE
    -4.3
  • Vox
    +2.6
  • Sumar
    +2.1
2.90

Data10

The final poll by Data10 deviated by an average of 2.90 percentage points per party from the actual Spanish election results.
  • PP
    +1.1
  • PSOE
    -7.2
  • Vox
    +2.2
  • Sumar
    +1.1

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

Data Sources and Methodology

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”