Latest polls from CIS
33.5
32.5
10.1
8.2
3.1
1.4
1.4
1
0.9
0.8
0.2
0.1
6.8
34
31.3
9.9
9.2
2.2
1.9
1.2
1.1
0.9
0.9
0.2
0.1
7.1
33.2
33
10.2
7.9
2.9
2.1
1
1
0.8
0.7
0.1
0.1
7
34
32.1
9.7
8.3
2.7
1.5
1.4
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.2
0.1
7.6
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 76% of election polls CIS rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 90% of election polls, CIS rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Sumar higher
In 54% of election polls, CIS rates Sumar higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox lower
In 80% of election polls CIS rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in CIS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, CIS's average ranking is 5.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
1x on rank 9