Latest voting intention survey by Demoscopia y Servicios for Spain
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by Demoscopia y Servicios, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 25.9%, PSOE 25.3%, Vox 16.9%, Unidos Podemos 10.3%, Más País 5.1%, ERC 3.4%, Junts per Catalunya 2.7%, Ciudadanos 2.3%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.3%, CUP 1%, Galego 0.6%, Coalición Canaria 0.4% and PRC 0.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 06.05.2021 - 06.05.2021. The survey was commissioned by ESdiario.
1000 participants
05.05.2021 - 06.05.2021
Demoscopia y Servicios
ESdiario
PP
25.9
+2.4
PSOE
25.3
-0.4
Vox
16.9
+1.6
UP
10.3
-2.9
MP
5.1
+3.5
ERC
3.4
+0.3
JxC
2.7
±0.0
Cs
2.3
-4.2
PNV
1.6
+0.1
Bildu
1.3
-0.1
CUP
1.0
+0.1
BNG
0.6
±0.0
CC
0.4
+0.4
PRC
0.3
±0.0
Others
2.9
-0.8
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
42
12%
MP
20
5.7%
PSOE
102
29.1%
ERC
13
3.7%
PP
105
30%
Vox
68
19.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + Más País + ERC
Partido Popular + Vox
65
PolitPro Score
Demoscopia y Servicios achieves a score of 65/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Demoscopia y Servicios pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.38
|
Parliamentary Election in Spain 2019 | 12/19 |
|
2.02
|
Parliamentary Election in Spain 2019 | 11/15 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.