Current election polls and polling data from DYM

Latest voting intention survey by DYM for Spain

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by DYM, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 33.1%, PSOE 28.2%, Vox 12.6%, Sumar 7.5%, Podemos 4.9% and SALF 1.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1015 people during the period 11.11.2024 - 11.11.2024. The survey was commissioned by Henneo.
1015 participants
08.11.2024 - 11.11.2024
DYM
Henneo
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
33.1
-3.8
PSOE
28.2
-0.6
Vox
12.6
+1.4
Sumar
7.5
±0.0
POD
4.9
+2.4
SALF
1.6
-0.4
Others
12.1
+1.0

Seats in parliament

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
30
8.6%
POD
20
5.7%
PSOE
114
32.6%
PP
135
38.6%
Vox
51
14.6%
Partido Popular + PSOE
71.1%
Partido Popular + Vox
53.1%
PSOE + Sumar + Podemos
46.9%

73

PolitPro Score

DYM achieves a score of 73/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
POD
Not enough data available
PP
11
63
26
PSOE
29
58
13
SALF
Not enough data available
Sumar
18
82
0
Vox
16
68
16

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.8

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in DYM pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.