Latest voting intention survey by electoPanel for Spain
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by electoPanel, the parties received the following results: PSOE 26.3%, Partido Popular 24.2%, Vox 14.2%, Unidos Podemos 11.7%, Ciudadanos 8%, ERC 3.5%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.6%, Coalició Compromís 2%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.2%, Coalición Canaria 0.5% and Galego 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 3220 people during the period 26.06.2020 - 26.06.2020. The survey was commissioned by electomania.es.
3220 participants
22.06.2020 - 26.06.2020
electoPanel
electomania.es
PSOE
26.3
+0.4
PP
24.2
-0.5
Vox
14.2
+0.1
UP
11.7
±0.0
Cs
8.0
+0.1
ERC
3.5
-0.1
PDeCAT
2.6
±0.0
Comp
2.0
±0.0
PNV
1.3
±0.0
Bildu
1.2
±0.0
CC
0.5
±0.0
BNG
0.5
±0.0
Others
4.0
0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
46
13.1%
PSOE
105
30%
ERC
14
4%
Cs
32
9.1%
PP
96
27.4%
Vox
57
16.3%
PSOE + Partido Popular
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
72
PolitPro Score
electoPanel achieves a score of 72/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.4
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in electoPanel pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.68
|
Parliamentary Election in Spanien 2019 | 2/19 |
|
2.04
|
Parliamentary Election in Spanien 2019 | 12/15 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.