Current election polls by GAD3

Latest polls from GAD3

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Partido Popular higher
In 57% of election polls, GAD3 rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 39% of election polls, GAD3 rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Unidos Podemos lower
In 55% of election polls GAD3 rates Unidos Podemos lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox lower
In 34% of election polls GAD3 rates Vox lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in GAD3 pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, GAD3's average ranking is 8.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
0x on rank 11
12
0x on rank 12

More from the Internet