Latest voting intention survey by GESOP for Spain
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by GESOP, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 32.1%, PSOE 27%, Vox 14.6%, Sumar 7.5%, Podemos 3.3%, SALF 2.5%, ERC 1.8% and Junts per Catalunya 1.4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 06.03.2025 - 06.03.2025. The survey was commissioned by Prensa Ibérica.
1000 participants
03.03.2025 - 06.03.2025
GESOP
Prensa Ibérica
Seats in parliament
350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
31
8.9%
POD
13
3.7%
PSOE
112
32%
PP
133
38%
Vox
61
17.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
Partido Popular + Vox
PSOE + Sumar + Podemos
68
PolitPro Score
GESOP achieves a score of 68/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in GESOP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.88
|
Parliamentary Election in Spanien 2023 | 10/10 |
|
0.62
|
Parliamentary Election in Spanien 2019 | 1/19 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.