Latest polls from Hamalgama
27.2
22.2
12.8
12.7
8.8
3.9
3.7
1.6
1.5
1
0.7
3.9
27.1
22.5
12.6
12.1
9
3.9
3.8
1.5
1.5
1
0.6
4.4
26.9
22.7
12.7
11.7
9.2
4.3
3.9
1.5
1.5
1
0.4
4.2
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Hamalgama pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Hamalgama's average ranking is 8.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
1x on rank 8