Latest polls from Hamalgama Métrica
38.7
27.8
11.2
9.6
1.8
1.6
1.6
1.4
0.8
0.4
0.2
4.9
38.8
28.2
11.6
9.9
1.7
1.7
1.4
1.2
0.7
0.4
0.2
4.2
36.2
30.7
11.8
11
1.9
1.7
1.4
1.2
0.6
0.4
0.2
2.9
35.6
31.3
12.1
11.2
1.7
1.7
1.3
1.1
0.7
0.4
0.2
2.7
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Partido Popular higher
In 42% of election polls, Hamalgama Métrica rates Partido Popular higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE lower
In 46% of election polls Hamalgama Métrica rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Hamalgama Métrica pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.3 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Hamalgama Métrica's average ranking is 14.0.
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