Latest polls from IMOP
32.6
26.2
15.3
13.3
2.6
2.1
1.4
1.3
1
0.8
0.4
0.3
2.7
33.3
24.5
15
14.9
2.3
2.2
1.4
1.2
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.3
0.2
2.8
34.4
24.6
16.3
10.2
2.5
1.8
1.5
1.3
1
0.6
0.3
0.2
5.3
29.4
27.2
16.8
9.8
3.2
2.2
1.6
1.6
1.3
1.3
1
0.8
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
2.8
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 33% of election polls IMOP rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 45% of election polls, IMOP rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in IMOP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, IMOP's average ranking is 10.7.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
0x on rank 11
12
0x on rank 12
13
1x on rank 13
14
0x on rank 14
15
1x on rank 15