Current election polls and polling data from Invymark

Latest voting intention survey by Invymark for Spain

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by Invymark, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 37.1%, PSOE 30.1%, Vox 10.9% and Sumar 6%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 20.09.2024 - 20.09.2024. The sample size is unknown.
Unbekannt
16.09.2024 - 20.09.2024
Invymark
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
37.1
-1.4
PSOE
30.1
-1.6
Vox
10.9
-0.2
Sumar
6.0
-2.4
Others
15.9
+5.6
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
24
6.9%
PSOE
126
36%
PP
155
44.3%
Vox
45
12.9%
Partido Popular + PSOE
80.3%
Partido Popular + Vox
57.1%
PSOE + Sumar
42.9%

72

PolitPro Score

Invymark achieves a score of 72/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
PP
20
64
16
PSOE
15
51
35
Sumar
23
62
15
Vox
21
54
25

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.9

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Invymark pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.