Latest polls from Ipsos
35.3
28.2
12.9
12.6
1.8
1.6
1.3
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.9
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Ipsos's average ranking is 4.6.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
3x the second best prediction
3
5x the third best prediction
4
3x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
1x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
1x on rank 9