Latest polls from Key Data
26
25.6
19.2
11
3.4
2.8
2.5
2.1
1.5
1.1
1
0.5
3.3
27.8
23.3
14.1
12.1
6.8
3.5
2.2
1.6
1.6
1.1
0.5
5.4
28.2
22.3
14.5
12.4
6.4
3.4
2
1.9
1.6
1
0.4
5.9
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Key Data pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Key Data's average ranking is 9.5.
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