Current election polls and polling data from Key Data

Latest voting intention survey by Key Data for Spain

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by Key Data, the parties received the following results: PSOE 26%, Partido Popular 25.6%, Vox 19.2%, Unidos Podemos 11%, ERC 3.4%, Más País 2.8%, Ciudadanos 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.1%, CUP 1% and Coalición Canaria 0.5%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 26.05.2022. The sample size is unknown. The survey was commissioned by Público.
Unbekannt
26.05.2022
Key Data
Público
PSOE
26.0
-1.8
PP
25.6
+2.3
Vox
19.2
+5.1
UP
11.0
-1.1
ERC
3.4
-0.1
MP
2.8
+2.8
Cs
2.5
-4.3
JxC
2.1
+2.1
PNV
1.5
-0.1
Bildu
1.1
±0.0
CUP
1.0
+1.0
CC
0.5
±0.0
Others
3.3
-5.9
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
45
12.9%
PSOE
107
30.6%
ERC
14
4%
PP
105
30%
Vox
79
22.6%
PSOE + Partido Popular
60.6%
Partido Popular + Vox
52.6%
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
47.4%

73

PolitPro Score

Key Data achieves a score of 73/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Bildu
0
100
0
Cs
0
89
11
ERC
0
100
0
JxC
Not enough data available
MP
Not enough data available
PNV
0
100
0
PP
11
79
11
PSOE
21
79
0
UP
0
100
0
Vox
11
89
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.3

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Key Data pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.