Latest voting intention survey by Key Data for Spain
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by Key Data, the parties received the following results: PSOE 26%, Partido Popular 25.6%, Vox 19.2%, Unidos Podemos 11%, ERC 3.4%, Más País 2.8%, Ciudadanos 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.1%, CUP 1% and Coalición Canaria 0.5%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 26.05.2022. The sample size is unknown. The survey was commissioned by Público.
Unbekannt
26.05.2022
Key Data
Público
PSOE
26.0
-1.8
PP
25.6
+2.3
Vox
19.2
+5.1
UP
11.0
-1.1
ERC
3.4
-0.1
MP
2.8
+2.8
Cs
2.5
-4.3
JxC
2.1
+2.1
PNV
1.5
-0.1
Bildu
1.1
±0.0
CUP
1.0
+1.0
CC
0.5
±0.0
Others
3.3
-5.9
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
45
12.9%
PSOE
107
30.6%
ERC
14
4%
PP
105
30%
Vox
79
22.6%
PSOE + Partido Popular
Partido Popular + Vox
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
73
PolitPro Score
Key Data achieves a score of 73/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.3
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Key Data pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
1.63
|
Parliamentary Election in Spanien 2019 | 16/19 |
1.05
|
Parliamentary Election in Spanien 2019 | 2/15 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.