Latest voting intention survey by Metroscopia for Spain
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by Metroscopia, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 29.5%, PSOE 26%, Vox 16.1%, Unidos Podemos 11.4%, ERC 2.9%, Más País 2.4%, Junts per Catalunya 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.4%, Ciudadanos 1.1%, CUP 1%, EH Bildu 1%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.4%, Navarra Suma 0.4%, ¡Teruel Existe! 0.1% and PRC 0.1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 5000 people during the period 19.12.2022 - 19.12.2022.
5000 participants
29.11.2022 - 19.12.2022
Metroscopia
PP
29.5
+0.3
PSOE
26.0
-0.3
Vox
16.1
-1.5
UP
11.4
+0.8
ERC
2.9
+2.9
MP
2.4
-0.1
JxC
1.9
+1.9
PNV
1.4
+1.4
Cs
1.1
±0.0
CUP
1.0
+1.0
Bildu
1.0
+1.0
BNG
0.7
+0.7
CC
0.4
+0.4
NA+
0.4
+0.4
TE
0.1
+0.1
PRC
0.1
+0.1
Others
3.6
-9.1
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
350
Majority requires 176 seats
UP
48
13.7%
PSOE
110
31.4%
PP
124
35.4%
Vox
68
19.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
Partido Popular + Vox
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
66
PolitPro Score
Metroscopia achieves a score of 66/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Metroscopia pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.16
|
Parliamentary Election in Spain 2019 | 6/15 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.