Latest voting intention survey by Sigma Dos for Spain
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by Sigma Dos, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 33.9%, PSOE 27.9%, Vox 12.6%, Sumar 6.9%, Podemos 4.8%, SALF 2.4%, ERC 1.7%, Junts per Catalunya 1.5%, EH Bildu 1.1%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1%, Galego 0.9%, Coalición Canaria 0.3% and UPN 0.2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1819 people during the period 15.04.2025 - 15.04.2025. The survey was commissioned by El Mundo.
1819 participants
04.04.2025 - 15.04.2025
Sigma Dos
El Mundo
Seats in parliament
350
Majority requires 176 seats
Sumar
28
8%
POD
19
5.4%
PSOE
114
32.6%
PP
138
39.4%
Vox
51
14.6%
Partido Popular + PSOE
Partido Popular + Vox
PSOE + Sumar + Podemos
84
PolitPro Score
Sigma Dos achieves a score of 84/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Sigma Dos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.93
|
Parliamentary Election in Spanien 2019 | 5/19 |
|
1.2
|
Parliamentary Election in Spanien 2019 | 7/15 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.