Current election polls and polling data from Simple Lógica

Latest voting intention survey by Simple Lógica for Spain

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Spain conducted by Simple Lógica, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 33.5%, PSOE 30.6%, Vox 10.5%, Sumar 7.4%, SALF 3.8% and Podemos 3.4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1032 people during the period 13.09.2024 - 13.09.2024. The survey was commissioned by eldiario.es.
1032 participants
01.09.2024 - 13.09.2024
Simple Lógica
eldiario.es
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
33.5
±0.0
PSOE
30.6
+0.1
Vox
10.5
±0.0
Sumar
7.4
-0.3
SALF
3.8
+0.1
POD
3.4
+0.5
Others
10.8
-0.4

Seats in parliament

350
Majority requires 176 seats
SALF
15
4.3%
Sumar
29
8.3%
POD
13
3.7%
PSOE
120
34.3%
PP
132
37.7%
Vox
41
11.7%
Partido Popular + PSOE
72.0%
Partido Popular + Vox + SALF
53.7%
PSOE + Sumar + SALF + Podemos
50.6%
Partido Popular + Vox
49.4%

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Partido Popular lower

In 55% of election polls Simple Lógica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Vox higher

In 30% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
POD
Not enough data available
PP
55
39
6
PSOE
14
58
28
SALF
Not enough data available
Sumar
Not enough data available
Vox
13
57
30

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.