Latest polls from SocioMétrica
38.7
29.2
11
10.8
1.8
1.7
1.1
1
0.5
0.2
0.2
3.8
38.7
30.1
10.6
10.2
2.1
1.7
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.3
0.3
3.6
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 47% of election polls SocioMétrica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE lower
In 42% of election polls SocioMétrica rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in SocioMétrica pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.6 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, SocioMétrica's average ranking is 9.0.
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