Latest polls from SocioMétrica
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 53% of election polls SocioMétrica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE lower
In 37% of election polls SocioMétrica rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 33% of election polls, SocioMétrica rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in SocioMétrica pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, SocioMétrica's average ranking is 5.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
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0x the second best prediction
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0x the third best prediction
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0x on rank 4
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1x on rank 5
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1x on rank 6