Latest polls from SW Demoscopia
24.7
23.8
19.8
10.9
3.8
2.8
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.4
1
0.5
0.2
0.2
5.7
25.9
22.7
21.4
9.8
3.8
3.1
2.2
1.9
1.7
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.2
4.5
25.3
23.6
20.7
10.2
3.6
2.9
2.4
2
1.6
1.1
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.2
4.6
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 58% of election polls SW Demoscopia rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 92% of election polls, SW Demoscopia rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in SW Demoscopia pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, SW Demoscopia's average ranking is 7.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
1x on rank 7