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Spain GI Internacional: Poll for Spain's Parliamentary Election, 3 November 2019

Strongest Force
6.8 points ahead of Partido Popular
Government Majority
No Majority
142 of 350 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2027
estimated

Voting Intention Poll for Spain's Parliamentary Election

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. GI Internacional: single poll for Spain's Parliamentary election, fieldwork concluded 3 November 2019.

Changes since the last election on 28 April 2019

28.5
-0.2
PP
21.7
+5.0
UP
13.2
-1.1
Vox
9.5
-0.8
Cs
9.5
-6.4
4.3
+3.6
ERC
4.2
+0.3
1.6
+1.6
PNV
1.6
+0.1
1.3
+0.3
CC
0.2
-0.3
Other
4.4
Institute
GI Internacional
Client
Diario16
Survey Period
03/11/2019
Spain's current government falls short of a majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 40.6% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by GI Internacional?

A recent voting intention poll for Spain by GI Internacional shows PSOE leading with 28.5%, followed by Partido Popular with 21.7%, Unidos Podemos with 13.2%, Vox with 9.5%, Ciudadanos with 9.5%, Coalició Compromís with 4.3%, ERC with 4.2%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català with 1.6%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco with 1.6%, EH Bildu with 1.3% and Coalición Canaria with 0.2%. Other parties achieve 4.4% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

GI Internacional: how reliable is the projection?

? PolitPro Score

No score calculated yet

Avg. deviation in elections
1.8 pp

1 election comparisons

Recorded polls
0

Last on 3 November 2019

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

No significant deviations from the Election Trend

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
176
0 350
Majority 176

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 3%.

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GI Internacional: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 7 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter the Cortes Generales: PSOE with 110 seats, Partido Popular with 84 seats, Unidos Podemos with 51 seats, Vox with 37 seats, Ciudadanos with 36 seats, Coalició Compromís with 16 seats and ERC with 16 seats.

Spain's Electoral System

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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