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Spain Hamalgama: election poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from 6 July 2026

Strongest Force
7.9 points ahead of PSOE
Government Majority
No Majority
141 of 350 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2027
estimated

Voting intention poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Hamalgama: single poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain, fieldwork ended 6 July 2026.

Changes since the last election on 23 July 2023

PP
33.8
+0.7
25.9
-5.8
Vox
18.8
+6.4
5.9
-6.4
POD
3.8
+3.8
ERC
1.8
-0.1
1.6
+1.6
JxC
1.5
-0.1
1.3
-0.1
PNV
0.9
-0.2
BNG
0.8
+0.2
CC
0.5
±0.0
UPN
0.2
±0.0
Other
3.2
Institute
Hamalgama
Survey Period
30/06/2026 – 06/07/2026
Respondents
2,005
Current government in Spain falls short of a majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 40.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Hamalgama?

A recent voting intention poll for Spain by Hamalgama shows Partido Popular leading with 33.8%, followed by PSOE with 25.9%, Vox with 18.8%, Sumar with 5.9%, Podemos with 3.8%, ERC with 1.8%, Se Acabó La Fiesta with 1.6%, Junts per Catalunya with 1.5%, EH Bildu with 1.3%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco with 0.9%, Galego with 0.8%, Coalición Canaria with 0.5% and UPN with 0.2%. Other parties achieve 3.2% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

Hamalgama: how reliable is the projection?

? PolitPro Score

No score calculated yet

Avg. deviation in elections
1.2 pp

1 election comparisons

Recorded polls
0

Last on 8 September 2026

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

No significant deviations from the Election Trend

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
176
0 350
Majority 176

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 3%.

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Hamalgama: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 5 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter the parliament of Spain: Partido Popular with 134 seats, PSOE with 103 seats, Vox with 75 seats, Sumar with 23 seats and Podemos with 15 seats.

Spain's Electoral System

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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