Key Data achieved a PolitPro Score of 79 out of 100.
On average, Key Data's figures deviate by 1.3 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
The PolitPro Election Trend serves as the benchmark, using a time-weighted average of all current surveys. A poll value is flagged if it deviates by more than one percentage point from this trend.
On average, Key Data's figures deviate by 1.3 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
With an average deviation of 1.63 percentage points per party, Key Data ranks 16 out of 19.
With an average deviation of 1.05 percentage points per party, Key Data ranks 2 out of 15.
Accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls aligned with actual election results. We compare final surveys from various institutes with official outcomes. To do this, we calculate the average deviation across all parties that received at least 3% of the vote. Most election polls have a standard margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. We categorize average deviations as follows: up to 1 percentage point is "very good" (green); up to 2 points is "good" (yellow); up to 3 points is "acceptable" (orange), though this may indicate significant outliers for specific parties. Deviations exceeding 3 percentage points suggest a lack of predictive power and are rated "poor" (red).