Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by electoPanel from 03.06.2020

Polling data

PSOE
25.6
-0.6
PP
25.1
-0.5
Vox
14.0
+0.2
UP
11.7
+0.2
Cs
7.8
+0.6
ERC
3.6
±0.0
PDeCAT
2.6
-0.1
Comp
1.9
+0.1
PNV
1.3
+0.1
Bildu
1.2
±0.0
CC
0.5
±0.0
BNG
0.5
±0.0
Sonst.
4.2
+0.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-6.1
PP
-8.0
Vox
+1.6
UP
Cs
ERC
+1.7
PDeCAT
Comp
PNV
+0.2
Bildu
-0.2
CC
±0.0
BNG
-0.1
electoPanel – 1400 respondents – 02.06.2020-03.06.2020
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates PSOE lower
In 38% of election polls electoPanel rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from electoPanel shows the following results: PSOE 25.6%, Partido Popular 25.1%, Vox 14%, Unidos Podemos 11.7%, Ciudadanos 7.8%, ERC 3.6%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.6%, Coalició Compromís 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.2%, Coalición Canaria 0.5% and Galego 0.5%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 29.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by electoPanel. For this purpose, 1400 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (02.06.2020 - 03.06.2020).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
46
PSOE
103
ERC
14
Cs
31
PP
100
Vox
56
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
203
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
187
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC
163

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by electoPanel. The survey took place between 02.06.2020 and 03.06.2020 among 1400 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 25.6%, Partido Popular 25.1%, Vox 14%, Unidos Podemos 11.7%, Ciudadanos 7.8%, ERC 3.6%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 2.6%, Coalició Compromís 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3%, EH Bildu 1.2%, Coalición Canaria 0.5% and Galego 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.