Spain: Poll by SocioMétrica from 07.05.2022

Polling data

PSOE
25.3
-0.6
PP
25.0
+1.9
Vox
19.1
-0.4
UP
11.3
-0.4
ERC
3.0
±0.0
MP
3.0
+0.1
Cs
2.7
-0.4
JxC
1.9
-0.1
PNV
1.6
±0.0
Bildu
1.2
±0.0
CUP
0.9
±0.0
BNG
0.7
+0.1
CC
0.5
-0.1
NA+
0.4
±0.0
PRC
0.2
±0.0
Sonst.
3.2
-0.1
SocioMétrica – 1200 respondents – 04.05.2022-07.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 47% of election polls SocioMétrica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE lower
In 42% of election polls SocioMétrica rates PSOE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from SocioMétrica shows the following results: PSOE 25.3%, Partido Popular 25%, Vox 19.1%, Unidos Podemos 11.3%, ERC 3%, Más País 3%, Ciudadanos 2.7%, Junts per Catalunya 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.2%, CUP 0.9%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, Navarra Suma 0.4% and PRC 0.2%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 29.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by SocioMétrica. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (04.05.2022 - 07.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
45
MP
12
PSOE
103
ERC
12
PP
101
Vox
77
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
204
Partido Popular + Vox
178
PSOE + Unidos Podemos + ERC + Más País

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by SocioMétrica. The survey took place between 04.05.2022 and 07.05.2022 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 25.3%, Partido Popular 25%, Vox 19.1%, Unidos Podemos 11.3%, ERC 3%, Más País 3%, Ciudadanos 2.7%, Junts per Catalunya 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.6%, EH Bildu 1.2%, CUP 0.9%, Galego 0.7%, Coalición Canaria 0.5%, Navarra Suma 0.4% and PRC 0.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.