Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Simple Lógica from 11.07.2022

Polling data

PP
33.0
+6.2
PSOE
25.3
+0.1
Vox
14.1
-5.5
UP
12.0
+0.9
MP
2.3
+1.1
Cs
1.8
-0.5
Sonst.
11.5
-2.3
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-0.1
PSOE
-6.4
Vox
+1.7
UP
MP
Cs
Simple Lógica – 1044 respondents – 01.07.2022-11.07.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Ciudadanos higher
In 31% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Ciudadanos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 56% of election polls Simple Lógica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 33% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Simple Lógica shows the following results: Partido Popular 33%, PSOE 25.3%, Vox 14.1%, Unidos Podemos 12%, Más País 2.3% and Ciudadanos 1.8%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.7 growth since the last election. PSOE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Simple Lógica. For this purpose, 1044 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (01.07.2022 - 11.07.2022).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
50
PSOE
105
PP
137
Vox
58
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE
242
Partido Popular + Vox
195
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
155

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Simple Lógica. The survey took place between 01.07.2022 and 11.07.2022 among 1044 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 33%, PSOE 25.3%, Vox 14.1%, Unidos Podemos 12%, Más País 2.3% and Ciudadanos 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.