Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Llorente & Cuenca from 17.12.2018

Polling data

PSOE
25.3
±0.0
PP
23.9
±0.0
Cs
19.8
±0.0
UP
13.9
±0.0
Vox
7.3
±0.0
ERC
3.5
±0.0
PDeCAT
1.4
±0.0
Sonst.
4.9
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-6.4
PP
-9.2
Cs
UP
Vox
-5.1
ERC
+1.6
PDeCAT
Llorente & Cuenca – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 17.12.2018-17.12.2018
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Respondent number unknown
No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Llorente & Cuenca shows the following results: PSOE 25.3%, Partido Popular 23.9%, Ciudadanos 19.8%, Unidos Podemos 13.9%, Vox 7.3%, ERC 3.5% and Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.4%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.6 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 27.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Llorente & Cuenca. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (17.12.2018 - 17.12.2018).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
52
PSOE
95
ERC
13
Cs
74
PP
89
Vox
27
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + Ciudadanos + Vox
190
PSOE + Partido Popular
184
PSOE + Ciudadanos + ERC
182
Partido Popular + Ciudadanos + ERC
176

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Llorente & Cuenca. The poll was conducted on 17.12.2018 - the number of respondents is unknown. After this election poll would get PSOE 25.3%, Partido Popular 23.9%, Ciudadanos 19.8%, Unidos Podemos 13.9%, Vox 7.3%, ERC 3.5% and Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.