Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Hamalgama–Ágora Integral from 13.01.2019

Polling data

PP
22.5
±0.0
UP
22.3
±0.0
PSOE
21.2
±0.0
Cs
18.2
±0.0
Vox
8.7
±0.0
ERC
2.5
±0.0
PNV
2.0
±0.0
PDeCAT
1.8
±0.0
Bildu
0.6
±0.0
CC
0.2
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PP
-10.6
UP
PSOE
-10.5
Cs
Vox
-3.7
ERC
+0.6
PNV
+0.9
PDeCAT
Bildu
-0.8
CC
-0.3
Hamalgama–Ágora Integral – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 15.12.2018-13.01.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Respondent number unknown
No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Hamalgama–Ágora Integral shows the following results: Partido Popular 22.5%, Unidos Podemos 22.3%, PSOE 21.2%, Ciudadanos 18.2%, Vox 8.7%, ERC 2.5%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 2%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.8%, EH Bildu 0.6% and Coalición Canaria 0.2%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.9 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 22.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Hamalgama–Ágora Integral. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (15.12.2018 - 13.01.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
84
PSOE
80
Cs
68
PP
85
Vox
33
Majority requires 176 seats
Partido Popular + PSOE + Ciudadanos
233
Partido Popular + Ciudadanos + Vox
186

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Hamalgama–Ágora Integral. The poll took place between 15.12.2018 and 13.01.2019. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get Partido Popular 22.5%, Unidos Podemos 22.3%, PSOE 21.2%, Ciudadanos 18.2%, Vox 8.7%, ERC 2.5%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 2%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.8%, EH Bildu 0.6% and Coalición Canaria 0.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.