Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Invymark from 19.04.2019

Polling data

PSOE
28.1
+1.0
PP
20.4
-0.4
Cs
15.2
-1.2
UP
13.0
-0.2
Vox
12.7
±0.0
ERC
3.3
±0.0
PNV
1.3
±0.0
PDeCAT
1.3
±0.0
Sonst.
4.7
+0.8
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-3.6
PP
-12.7
Cs
UP
Vox
+0.3
ERC
+1.4
PNV
+0.2
PDeCAT
Invymark – 1200 respondents – 15.04.2019-19.04.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Ciudadanos lower
In 45% of election polls Invymark rates Ciudadanos lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSOE higher
In 34% of election polls, Invymark rates PSOE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Invymark shows the following results: PSOE 28.1%, Partido Popular 20.4%, Ciudadanos 15.2%, Unidos Podemos 13%, Vox 12.7%, ERC 3.3%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3% and Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.3%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Invymark. For this purpose, 1200 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (15.04.2019 - 19.04.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
49
PSOE
107
ERC
12
Cs
57
PP
77
Vox
48
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
184
Partido Popular + Ciudadanos + Vox
182
PSOE + Ciudadanos + ERC
176

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Invymark. The survey took place between 15.04.2019 and 19.04.2019 among 1200 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 28.1%, Partido Popular 20.4%, Ciudadanos 15.2%, Unidos Podemos 13%, Vox 12.7%, ERC 3.3%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.3% and Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.