Spain
Election trend
Parties

Spain: Poll by Simple Lógica from 04.10.2019

Polling data

PSOE
29.1
-1.5
PP
19.1
+0.7
UP
12.5
-1.3
Vox
12.2
+0.1
Cs
10.0
-3.6
Sonst.
17.1
+5.6
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-2.6
PP
-14.0
UP
Vox
-0.2
Cs
Simple Lógica – 1046 respondents – 01.10.2019-04.10.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Ciudadanos higher
In 31% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Ciudadanos higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Partido Popular lower
In 56% of election polls Simple Lógica rates Partido Popular lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Vox higher
In 33% of election polls, Simple Lógica rates Vox higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Simple Lógica shows the following results: PSOE 29.1%, Partido Popular 19.1%, Unidos Podemos 12.5%, Vox 12.2% and Ciudadanos 10%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, Vox might gain the most in voter favorability with -0.2 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 35.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Simple Lógica. For this purpose, 1046 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (01.10.2019 - 04.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
53
PSOE
123
Cs
42
PP
81
Vox
51
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
204
PSOE + Unidos Podemos
176
Partido Popular + Vox + Ciudadanos
174

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Simple Lógica. The survey took place between 01.10.2019 and 04.10.2019 among 1046 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PSOE 29.1%, Partido Popular 19.1%, Unidos Podemos 12.5%, Vox 12.2% and Ciudadanos 10%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.