Spain
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Spain: Poll by Key Data from 26.10.2019

Polling data

PSOE
27.6
-0.8
PP
21.5
+1.5
UP
12.3
+0.2
Vox
10.7
+1.6
Cs
10.2
-1.4
Comp
4.6
±0.0
ERC
3.9
+0.3
PDeCAT
1.9
+0.3
PNV
1.5
+0.2
Bildu
1.0
±0.0
CC
0.5
+0.1
Sonst.
4.3
-2.0
Development since the last election on 23.07.2023
PSOE
-4.1
PP
-11.6
UP
New
Vox
-1.7
Cs
New
Comp
New
ERC
+2.0
PDeCAT
New
PNV
+0.4
Bildu
-0.4
CC
±0.0
Key Data – 500 respondents – 26.10.2019-26.10.2019

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Spain is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 500 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Spain - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Spain from Key Data shows the following results: PSOE 27.6%, Partido Popular 21.5%, Unidos Podemos 12.3%, Vox 10.7%, Ciudadanos 10.2%, Coalició Compromís 4.6%, ERC 3.9%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1% and Coalición Canaria 0.5%. If an election were held in Spain this Sunday, ERC might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. Partido Popular, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Pedro Sánchez is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from PSOE and Sumar. With 30.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Key Data. For this purpose, 500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (26.10.2019 - 26.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

350
UP
47
Comp
18
PSOE
107
ERC
15
Cs
39
PP
83
Vox
41
Majority requires 176 seats
PSOE + Partido Popular
190

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Spain was conducted by Key Data. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 26.10.2019 500. After this election poll would get PSOE 27.6%, Partido Popular 21.5%, Unidos Podemos 12.3%, Vox 10.7%, Ciudadanos 10.2%, Coalició Compromís 4.6%, ERC 3.9%, Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 1.9%, Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco 1.5%, EH Bildu 1% and Coalición Canaria 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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